{"id":142377,"date":"2026-10-09T10:58:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T08:58:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lexpertjournal.net\/fr\/?p=142377"},"modified":"2026-10-09T10:58:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T08:58:43","slug":"omc-le-commerce-de-marchandises-augmente-de-3-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lexpertjournal.net\/fr\/?p=142377","title":{"rendered":"OMC : le commerce de marchandises augmente de 3.9%"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le commerce mondial a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus r\u00e9silient que pr\u00e9vu au premier semestre 2026, malgr\u00e9 les perturbations dues au conflit au Moyen-Orient selon l\u2019Organisation Mondiale du Commerce. Les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement se sont adapt\u00e9es et des investissements importants dans l’intelligence artificielle ont donn\u00e9 une forte impulsion au commerce des marchandises. La r\u00e9silience n’a toutefois pas \u00e9t\u00e9 uniforme, le commerce des services et certaines r\u00e9gions ayant \u00e9t\u00e9 davantage expos\u00e9s aux effets du conflit.<\/p>\n

Hausse qui d\u00e9passe les pr\u00e9visions\u00a0:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

D’apr\u00e8s les derni\u00e8res \u00ab Perspectives et statistiques du commerce mondial<\/a> \u00bb publi\u00e9es le 8 octobre, le volume des \u00e9changes de marchandises devrait cro\u00eetre de 3,9 % en 2026, contre 1,9 % pr\u00e9vu en mars, avant d’atteindre 4,1 % en 2027. Cette r\u00e9vision tient compte de l’adaptation des cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement mondiales aux perturbations des march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9nergie et des engrais, ainsi que du dynamisme des investissements dans les infrastructures li\u00e9es \u00e0 l’IA, qui ont stimul\u00e9 le commerce des biens permettant le d\u00e9veloppement de l’IA. La croissance du commerce des services devrait rester positive, malgr\u00e9 un ralentissement d\u00fb \u00e0 l’impact du conflit au Moyen-Orient sur les transports et les voyages internationaux. Le volume des \u00e9changes de services devrait progresser de 3,3 % en 2026, contre 4,8 % pr\u00e9vu en mars, avant d’atteindre 6,4 % en 2027.<\/p>\n

Le r\u00f4le des investissements dans l\u2019IA<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cette performance t\u00e9moigne de la capacit\u00e9 d’adaptation des cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement face aux chocs affectant les march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9nergie, des engrais et des transports. Bien que les exportations de p\u00e9trole brut du Moyen-Orient aient chut\u00e9 d’environ 24 % et celles de gaz naturel liqu\u00e9fi\u00e9 (GNL) de 47 % au premier semestre 2026, l’augmentation des livraisons d’autres fournisseurs a permis de limiter le recul des exportations mondiales \u00e0 environ 6 % pour le p\u00e9trole brut et \u00e0 seulement 1 % pour le GNL.<\/p>\n

Les march\u00e9s des engrais se sont \u00e9galement adapt\u00e9s malgr\u00e9 de fortes perturbations\u00a0: les importations mondiales d’engrais azot\u00e9s n’ont recul\u00e9 que de 2,8 % par rapport aux moyennes r\u00e9centes, tandis que celles d’engrais phosphat\u00e9s ont progress\u00e9 de 2,2 % gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 l’intervention de fournisseurs alternatifs. Parall\u00e8lement, les flux commerciaux ont \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9orient\u00e9s vers d’autres ports et corridors. Le trafic mondial de conteneurs est rest\u00e9 dynamique, enregistrant une hausse de 3,9 % depuis le d\u00e9but de l’ann\u00e9e jusqu’\u00e0 fin juillet.<\/p>\n

La forte demande li\u00e9e aux investissements dans l’IA a largement compens\u00e9 les effets n\u00e9gatifs du conflit au Moyen-Orient. La demande de biens essentiels \u00e0 l’IA, tels que les semi-conducteurs et les serveurs, a repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 47 % de la croissance du commerce mondial de marchandises au premier semestre 2026, et les \u00e9changes de ces produits ont progress\u00e9 de 67 % sur un an, s’acc\u00e9l\u00e9rant par rapport \u00e0 la forte croissance d\u00e9j\u00e0 observ\u00e9e en 2024 et 2025.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hausse de 14% du commerce des services\u00a0:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le commerce des services a progress\u00e9 de 14 % en valeur au premier trimestre 2026 par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode de l’ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, et de 10 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre. La croissance a ralenti au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, le conflit au Moyen-Orient ayant perturb\u00e9 les transports et les services de voyage, deux secteurs fortement d\u00e9pendants du r\u00f4le de la r\u00e9gion comme plaque tournante mondiale. Les services de transport ont \u00e9t\u00e9 affect\u00e9s par la r\u00e9organisation des routes maritimes et la forte hausse des co\u00fbts de fret. Les d\u00e9penses des voyageurs \u00e0 l’\u00e9tranger n’ont augment\u00e9 que de 5 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode de l’ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, contre 15 % au premier trimestre. Les arriv\u00e9es de touristes internationaux ont recul\u00e9 de 0,8 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre et n’ont progress\u00e9 que de 0,4 % sur l’ensemble du premier semestre, selon les donn\u00e9es de l’Organisation mondiale du tourisme des Nations Unies, ce qui refl\u00e8te une contraction du tourisme international.<\/p>\n

Malgr\u00e9 ces difficult\u00e9s, les autres services commerciaux, notamment les services num\u00e9riques, ont fait preuve d’une relative r\u00e9silience et ont continu\u00e9 de soutenir la croissance globale du commerce des services. Les exportations de services informatiques, l’un des segments du commerce des services connaissant la plus forte croissance, ont progress\u00e9 de 18 % en glissement annuel au premier trimestre et d’environ 12 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, contribuant ainsi \u00e0 compenser la faiblesse des services de transport et de voyage. Les exportations de services financiers ont \u00e9galement progress\u00e9, de 14 % en glissement annuel au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le commerce mondial a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus r\u00e9silient que pr\u00e9vu au premier semestre 2026, malgr\u00e9 les perturbations dues au conflit au Moyen-Orient selon l\u2019Organisation Mondiale du Commerce. Les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement se sont adapt\u00e9es et des investissements importants dans l’intelligence artificielle ont donn\u00e9 une forte impulsion au commerce des marchandises. La r\u00e9silience n’a toutefois pas \u00e9t\u00e9 uniforme, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":142378,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"\nOMC : le commerce de marchandises augmente de 3.9% - L'expert Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lexpertjournal.net\/fr\/?p=142377\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"OMC : le commerce de marchandises augmente de 3.9%\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le commerce mondial a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus r\u00e9silient que pr\u00e9vu au premier semestre 2026, malgr\u00e9 les perturbations dues au conflit au Moyen-Orient selon l\u2019Organisation Mondiale du Commerce. 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