{"id":142278,"date":"2026-10-02T11:48:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T09:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lexpertjournal.net\/fr\/?p=142278"},"modified":"2026-10-02T11:48:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T09:48:13","slug":"le-dinar-tunisien-se-defend-bien","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lexpertjournal.net\/fr\/?p=142278","title":{"rendered":"Le Dinar Tunisien se d\u00e9fend bien"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques au Moyen-Orient et en Europe, ainsi que les probl\u00e8mes enregistr\u00e9s au niveau du commerce mondial et les cours du brut, le dinar tunisien a r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 conserver une remarquable stabilit\u00e9 face \u00e0 l\u2019Euro tout en enregistrant une l\u00e9g\u00e8re d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation face au dollar am\u00e9ricain, et des \u00e9volutions contrast\u00e9es face aux autres devises. Mais cette stabilit\u00e9 est elle due \u00e0 une solidit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique ou s\u2019est une simple stabilit\u00e9 nominale\u00a0?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Au cours des 9 premiers de l\u2019ann\u00e9e en cours le dinar tunisien est rest\u00e9 stable face \u00e0 l\u2019Euro, la principale monnaie d\u2019\u00e9change, avec plus de 70% de nos \u00e9changes commerciaux qui se font avec l\u2019Europe. Ainsi\u00a0:<\/p>\n<p>Au <strong>31 d\u00e9cembre 2025 : 1 \u20ac = 3,3744 Dinar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>et au 30 septembre 2026 : 1 \u20ac = 3,3749 Dinar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Face au dollar le dinar tunisien s\u2019est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement d\u00e9pr\u00e9ci\u00e9 en conc\u00e9dant 0.9%.<\/p>\n<p>Cette situation est enregistr\u00e9e alors que nos r\u00e9serves en devises ont accus\u00e9 une chute consid\u00e9rable passant de plus de 110 jours d\u2019importation au mois de Juin 2026 \u00e0 92 jours d\u2019importation au 1<sup>er<\/sup> Octobre 2026. Une situation due en grande partie au paiement par la Tunisie de la derni\u00e8re tranche de l\u2019emprunt obligataire de 700 millions d\u2019euros au mois de Juillet 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Il est important de signaler que le dinar doit sa stabilit\u00e9 en grande partie gr\u00e2ce aux transferts des tunisiens \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger et aux recettes touristiques. Selon la BCT, les transferts des Tunisiens r\u00e9sidents \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger et les recettes du tourisme se sont \u00e9tablis \u00e0 la date du 20 ao\u00fbt, \u00e0 11 milliards de dinars. \u00a0Les recettes touristiques ont atteint 5127,5 MD en hausse de 5% par rapport \u00e0 2025, alors que les revenus du travail cumul\u00e9s ont augment\u00e9 de 5,4%, se stabilisant au niveau de 5868,7 MD, au 20 ao\u00fbt 2026. Pour m\u00e9moire, les envois de fonds des TRE ont atteint <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/goto?url=CAEStQEB6zswFfGH9MBlOi8Wt_eArb1jZWuaaDQ21vxwg9tzYfqbdT0lolDvBb7Z-YsnSZt5RqrIYlhvEbF4BHh8MNQ46s9mK_qlbk75CIbcPYcV8nDbEnrI6xju1wcpFSZpwca703s0L0FgoMdHfAFI4lhFagtMBDDmMUUa9ieAKN3ILNb1_fm1BJ8Xr1DaqwyMJv9K1StN_Us2ggc5SOa6tf3sULHxhGJtQbyZ-59WzCZwZEimhn0z\">8,76 milliards de dinars<\/a> sur l&rsquo;ensemble de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2025, en hausse de 6 % par rapport \u00e0 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la performance \u00e9conomique, le d\u00e9ficit commercial s\u2019est nettement aggrav\u00e9 au cours des 8 premiers mois de l\u2019ann\u00e9e atteignant (-17853,8 MD) contre (-14639 MD) durant les huit premiers mois de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2025. Les exportations\u00a0ont augment\u00e9 de +8% et les importations +11,6. Le taux de couverture a atteint un niveau de (71,4%) contre (73,9%) durant la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2025. Le d\u00e9ficit \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique repr\u00e9sente plus de 55% du d\u00e9ficit commercial enregistr\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Loin des performances \u00e9conomiques, la circulaire de la Banque Centrale n\u00b0 2026-04 publi\u00e9e le 26 mars 2026 et qui encadre strictement le financement des importations non prioritaires en Tunisie a permis de r\u00e9duire le recours aux devises ou retarder certaines importations.<\/p>\n<p>Le dinar tunisien continue de b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier aussi d\u2019un niveau d\u2019inflation \u00e9lev\u00e9 dans la zone euro, et qui se rapproche du niveau enregistr\u00e9 en Tunisie. En effet, le taux d&rsquo;inflation annuel dans la zone euro s&rsquo;est \u00e9tabli \u00e0 3,2 % en ao\u00fbt 2026, en hausse par rapport \u00e0 juillet (2,9 %), et est estim\u00e9 autour de 3,6 % pour septembre 2026. En Tunisie l\u2019inflation a atteint 5.4% au mois d\u2019Ao\u00fbt.<\/p>\n<p>En conclusion, le dinar tunisien se d\u00e9fend bien, mais malheureusement pas avec des \u00ab\u00a0armes\u00a0\u00bb de solidit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique. La performance est due en grande partie \u00e0 la conjonction de plusieurs \u00e9l\u00e9ments conjoncturels favorables. Mais jusqu\u2019ou peut il tenir ainsi\u00a0?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; Malgr\u00e9 les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques au Moyen-Orient et en Europe, ainsi que les probl\u00e8mes enregistr\u00e9s au niveau du commerce mondial et les cours du brut, le dinar tunisien a r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 conserver une remarquable stabilit\u00e9 face \u00e0 l\u2019Euro tout en enregistrant une l\u00e9g\u00e8re d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation face au dollar am\u00e9ricain, et des \u00e9volutions contrast\u00e9es face aux [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":142279,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.9 (Yoast SEO v24.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le Dinar Tunisien se d\u00e9fend bien - 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